Monthly Archives: March 2011

The sentiment summary for this week: Sentiment Surveys Starting off with the usual suspects, the weekly retail investor sentiment measure from the AAII had more bears than bulls, something we haven’t seen since early September 2010. The AAII bulls fell … Continue reading →

It is widely known that the third year in the 4 year election year cycle is very good for the stock market – on average. That qualifier is going to be important to stress this year as the historical pattern … Continue reading →

This is a guest post by Zev Spiro: It was a very interesting day yesterday. World markets were spooked on Japan headlines and the major market indices had significant gap-downs at the opening bell. SPDR S&P 500 Trust (SPY) traded … Continue reading →

Guest post by Susan C. Walker: Remember the book that came out at the top of the dot.com mania in 1999 with the title, “Dow 36,000”? Within six months of publication, the stock market bubble burst and that prediction didn’t … Continue reading →

In a recent research report (see below) to be published in The Journal of Wealth Management, Prof. Philip Z. Maymin concludes that the ultimate value of financial advisors is that they can act to stop the emotional impulses of their … Continue reading →

Earlier in the month I suggested that between the dejected US dollar and the euphoric Euro, it was the greenback’s turn to lead in the forex waltz. The US dollar did try to rally and the Euro did correct but … Continue reading →

My apologies, this week’s sentiment was delayed due to travel and prior commitments: Sentiment Surveys The weekly AAII survey of US retail investors shows a continuing deterioration in bullish mood. This week those believing that the stock market would be … Continue reading →

Here is the summary of sentiment data for this week: Sentiment Surveys The AAII survey of retail investors in the US was little changed with 36.8% polled believing that the S&P 500 index would be higher in the next 6 … Continue reading →

The Euro and the US dollar have been engaged in a dance where one takes turns leading or rallying and the other swoons. Until they reverse roles and the dance starts all over again. The last time I wrote about … Continue reading →

Guest post by Nico Isaac of Elliott Wave International: Conventional economic wisdom is founded on one core concept: namely, that events that exist outside the market (part of “market fundamentals”) trigger trend changes in the financial markets. Because of this … Continue reading →