Monthly Archives: March 2011

Sentiment Overview: Week Of March 18th, 2011

The sentiment summary for this week: Sentiment Surveys Starting off with the usual suspects, the weekly retail investor sentiment measure from the AAII had more bears than bulls, something we haven’t seen since early September 2010. The AAII bulls fell … Continue reading

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Not Your Typical Pre-Election Year For The Stock Market

It is widely known that the third year in the 4 year election year cycle is very good for the stock market – on average. That qualifier is going to be important to stress this year as the historical pattern … Continue reading

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Roadmap For The Indices & An MSCI Target

This is a guest post by Zev Spiro: It was a very interesting day yesterday. World markets were spooked on Japan headlines and the major market indices had significant gap-downs at the opening bell. SPDR S&P 500 Trust (SPY) traded … Continue reading

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An Important Level The Dow Hasn’t Broken… Yet

Guest post by Susan C. Walker: Remember the book that came out at the top of the dot.com mania in 1999 with the title, “Dow 36,000”? Within six months of publication, the stock market bubble burst and that prediction didn’t … Continue reading

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Why We’ll Always Have Contrarianism

In a recent research report (see below) to be published in The Journal of Wealth Management, Prof. Philip Z. Maymin concludes that the ultimate value of financial advisors is that they can act to stop the emotional impulses of their … Continue reading

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Euro/US Dollar Cross: Retail FX Traders Shift Positions

Earlier in the month I suggested that between the dejected US dollar and the euphoric Euro, it was the greenback’s turn to lead in the forex waltz. The US dollar did try to rally and the Euro did correct but … Continue reading

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Sentiment Overview: Week Of March 11th, 2011

My apologies, this week’s sentiment was delayed due to travel and prior commitments: Sentiment Surveys The weekly AAII survey of US retail investors shows a continuing deterioration in bullish mood. This week those believing that the stock market would be … Continue reading

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